What Russia’s Dire Population Trends Reveal!

Revelations Regarding Putin’s Military Motives

What Russia’s Dire Population Trends Reveal?

What was Putin’s primary motive in waging a War against Crimea and Ukraine? Was it just all about amassing more land and guarding their borders? Or was it more about reversing the chilling affects of the Demographic Winter that Russia is now experiencing?

Russia is presently suffering one of the greatest Natural Population declines in the history of mankind, which is having dire consequences to Russia’s future growth and economic prosperity.

Presently, Russia’s population is declining by over a million people each year. If present trends continue, Russia’s population will lose almost a third of their population, declining from 141 million to below 100 million by 2050.

According to Russia’s records, they have experienced the largest natural population decline since World War II, losing 997,000 people, between October 2020 and September 2021. And today there are millions who are praying for a path to freedom from Putin’s totalitarian government.

Vladimir Putin understands well the need to address Russia’s Demographic Crisis. In 2012 after coming to an understanding of the severity of Russia’s situation, Putin stated: “ falling populations pose a dire threat to our country’s very existence.” (Christian Science Monitor, Fred Weir: Feb. 14, 2012)

The world has experienced a 50% decline in birthrates over the last 50 years.

If a country is to replace its previous generation, it takes a birthrate of 2.1 children to replace every two individuals, and all Europe’s birthrates are only averaging 1.38.

In 1999 Russia’s birth rate had fallen to an all time low level at 1.16, putting Russia in danger of free fall, where it becomes almost impossible to get turned around.

Today we often hear News Anchors speculate that the primary reason for Russia’s attack on the countries of Crimea and Ukraine, is the belief that Russia was looking to restore lands previously lost. However, Russia already has the largest landmass of any Country in the World, land that is very mineral rich.

Russia has plenty of land and natural resources, but what they don’t have is a growing population. What Russia needs today is the human capital, as needed to man their farms, factories and a future army if they are to remain a viable nation.

Russia today is in dire need of human capital, children as needed for their future growth and economic survival. A youthful generation has been lost to Russia, a demographic that they are in dire need of having, if they are to remain a viable nation. So were both the Crimea and Ukraine Wars, primarily Demographic Wars, that are very much about the enslavement of a population of people, in which Russia is in great need of?

In May of 2011, I was working as a World Congress of Families’ partner in organizing a Demographic Summit, at the University of Moscow. At that Demographic Summit the brochure stated:

“Strengthening Family is key to overcome Demographic Winter”

Shared in this Conference brochure, Vladimir Putin then President of the Russian Federation stated: “The Central problem of contemporary Russia is Demography. Strengthening the family will increase the birthrate.”

Dmitry Medvedev, Prime Minister of the Russian Federation also stated: “The overall decline in population… would result in weakening of political, economic and military influence of Russia in the world, and the possibility of additional claims to the territory of Russia.”

My name is Steven Smoot I am President of the Family First Foundation

A Documentarian and producer of four documentaries: “Demographic Winter- The Decline of The Human Family,” “Demographic Bomb-Demography is Destiny,” “The New Economic Reality-Demographic Winter,” and “Outcomes the Family and Faith Factors.”

In the production of these documentaries, our production team interviewed many Scholars, Demographers, Economists, Sociologists and Civic Leaders from around the world, who gave evidence of major demographic changes that are taking place worldwide. We call this new season of change a “Demographic Winter.”

While filming and traveling in Poland with Phil Longman, a Washington D.C. demographer and author of the book the “Empty Cradle,” Phil stated: that “Demographics may be the greatest predictor of the fate and future of society in the 21^st Century.”

After the production of our first documentary “Demographic Winter”, working with the “Institute of European Studies”, we went on to produce and share this documentary in 60 different languages around the World.

What we came to understand is that continued population growth is vital for the economic future and prosperity of a nation, and that Children are the life-blood and human capital needed to accomplish that end.

In our interview with Dr. Gary Becker, a Recipient of the Nobel Prize in Economics: He shared this statement: “Economic prosperity comes from population growth, and depression is associated with declining populations; this could lead to very serious consequences.”

The Demographic Winter the world is now experiencing gives evidence of major economic storms ahead. Given that there are now over 90 countries that will not be able to replace their previous generation.
Past history has shown that at times of uncertainty in the world. Women will choose not having a child. During this Age of Uncertainty for Women in Eastern Europe and Russia, birthrates have traditionally decreased and abortions and infant deaths have greatly increased.

The United Nations Population Division estimates that by the year 2050, there will be over 248 million fewer children under the age of 5 than there are at present. The aggression of Russia will serve to greatly increase the declining birthrates that the world is already projected to experience.

A good example of the great need for children, came from an interview we had with a Government Demographer in Germany for our documentary, “Demographic Winter.” He informed us that the German Government that year had to close 280 schools, because they didn’t have enough children come up through the ranks, as needed to support their existing schools.

In 2014, I was in Moscow, serving on the Organizing Committee for the “World Congress of Families” scheduled for 2016. However it was later canceled due to the fact that Russia declared war and attacked their neighbor country Crimea. In so doing they were successful in capturing an additional 2.4 million of additional needed population.

Following those meetings, Father Demetri of the Russian Orthodox Church asked me to stay for a couple of weeks, and consider going on a road trip with him across Russia where he wanted to show me towns and villages all across Russia that had become deserted, as hundreds of schools had been shut down due to the lack of children, informing me that Russia would like immigrants as needed to man their farms and factories and a future army. But immigrants were fearful that they would become enslaved. Today, Russia’s fears in opening their borders is not that they will be overrun by immigrants flocking to their country. Their concern of opening their borders is that they will loss their existing population.

What has brought about Russia’s dire population trends?

Russia was the First Nation to Legalize Abortions in 1922, and as such they were one of the first countries to experience major population declines. Even after experiencing major declines, many of their policy makers had not awoken to the fact that their deaths and abortions were over 4.1 million per year, and their live births were only at 1.9 million. Even though some efforts have been made to discourage abortions, today abortions still play a major factor in Russia’s declining population.
A statistic for Russia is its Male Mortality Rate, which has already affected Russia’s military age demographic. Reasons given for Russian Men dying at an alarming young age include high consumption of alcohol and other substance abuse, political and military conflicts, economic strife, and the break down of traditional marriage and family values.

The most telling impacts on Russia’s future growth is their Below Replacement Fertility Rates. This dramatic and prolonged collapse of Russia’s birthrates has become very apparent. A brief glance at Russia’s population pyramid illustrates the chilling effects that this Demographic Winter has had on Russia. From 1993 to 2007 the fertility rate as defined as the number of children a woman can be expected to have over the course of her lifetime, fell below 1.5 far below the 2.1 replacement rate. Russia’s low birth rates, which have extended over the past thirty-year, have now become the norm, which greatly reduces the likelihood that Russia will ever achieve a replacement fertility rate.

Need for Immigration: If Russia’s present population trends continue Russia will lose a third of their population by 2050. Russia needs immigration, however the fear of immigrants living under a totalitarian suppressive government would be a loss of their freedoms. When America opens its borders, immigrants flock to America. When Russia opens their borders many choose to leave.

The Loss of Religious Liberties has brought about the loss of the eternal nature of Family, changing how many in Russia have come to view and value Marriage, Children, Faith and Family in their society. Research shows that People of Faith are more likely to have children as needed to replace the previous generation then those without faith.

Russia’s Aging Population is leading to a country in decline and an increasing mortality rate.

So what was Putin Primary Agenda?

Vladimir Putin shared for years his deep concern of the dire Demographic trends facing Russia. In his State of the Nation Address to the Duma in July 2000, President Vladimir Putin stated:

“Year by year, we, the citizens of Russia, are getting fewer and fewer.…

We face the threat of becoming a senile nation.” “Russia has experienced unusually high death rates from non-natural causes, many related to alcoholism, and an increase in mortality that is unprecedented for an industrialized nation…. At the same time, the fertility rate has declined to among the world’s lowest, while a high rate of abortion poses significant health problems. Deaths have exceeded births since 1992.”

What does Russia’s dire population trend reveal? Putin’s need to take captive the people needed to man his army, farms and factories.

Please help to share these insights with the world:

Steven E. Smoot President Family First Foundation

Please also see, “Demographic Winter the Decline of the Human Family” by Steven E. Smoot https://www.demographicbomb.com/